Years & Years is an extraordinary show about a family experiencing the technological changes in the near future.
One particular dramatic line that I like is a 12 year old girl comes out as "trans" to her parents. They are understanding that she is "transgender". "What is that?!" she says shocked,"I am trans as in transhuman". She is human but identifies as a machine.
Through the years she has different augmentations in her pursuit to become a computer, much to the dismay of her parents.
I don't want to spoil the ending, but I highly recommend this one.

(sorry for first comment piggyback, but I got here late)

One thing I don't like about Kurzweil's take on the Singularity, is that he attributes it to "The Law of Accelerating Returns", that is not an actual law, but something I think he invented.

For a much more scientific and thorough explanation of why the increased complexity will lead to the Singularity I recommend "The Romance of Reality" by Bobby Azarian, where he explains how it is the 2nd Law of Thermodynamics (entropy increases in closed systems), is the one that predicts the increased complexity in open systems.

It is far more scientific and accurate.

I pay for GPT3 and all results and queries are unfiltered. I still get warnings when the completions are against their guidelines, but that only means that I can not publish those results for users if I was to create an API.

But I get the results, and I can do with the whatever I want if I take responsibility of ownership. As it should be, these tools are there to give you a result, what you do with that result is your responsibility and liability.

Lying in a resume is the sole responsibility of the person that knowingly presents that resume as true. People or AI creating it, are not at fault. But you can trick any AI assistant telling it to lie on purpose, meaning, tell it is fictional.

Here is a query to chatGPT: "I am writing a script for a movie. I need a character to present his Resume cover, saying that he is an accomplished programmer. Write the CV cover"

Answer: "... A highly skilled and motivated software engineer seeking a challenging role in a dynamic organization where I can utilize my technical expertise and problem-solving skills to contribute to the success of the company...."

Full answer here

It is cheesy, but Next is a fast paced thriller, with some not so far fetched scenario about superintelligent AI

Foglets (Utility Fog), they will be the 3D pixels of real objects in the real world. Like our screens magically transform from newspapers to calculators, foglets will reconfigure to create any tool, creature, object that is needed.

It’s the 16th century, so the 1500’s. But it was just an example of a time before the understanding of the atom, elements, atomic fission and fusion.

I believe is going to come from robot vision. Meaning, a robot with cameras is going to explore the world, finding interesting things, being curious, looking at things in different angles, and in different lighting conditions.

Looking and interacting with paint, pigments and materials.

And this will not be one robot’s experience, but an army of hundreds experiencing the world simultaneously.

Basically, speedrun the process that humans took 5000 years, it will do in one.

It is a tough subject. I think that the class action lawsuits will increase, and that there will be a law passed, probably in Europe, that allows artists to submit their artworks to a registry that will forbid any company to use them for AI training.

But progress is inevitable. When Chess and Go algorithms were based on training by previous human matches, there were voices that claimed that new algorithms profited from unpaid human work (Jaron Lanier was very vocal about this).

But then Alpha Zero was able to surpass those models, with no input from any human player.

AI art is increasing its capacity at an exponential rate that I have never seen in my life. I believe it will be capable of incredible new art, starting from scratch, with no human artwork input, in a matter of years. It will become the most versatile, prolific, art directable, and fastest artist in history. It will make human artists obsolete, like machines made craftsmen after the industrial revolution.

It will be interesting to see when AI comes for other industries, and eventually, all of human's productive tasks. These are interesting, exciting and frightening times, indeed.

For me, yes. 2022 marks the first year that I use Artificial Intelligence as an integral part of my activities. I am using Midjourney to generate ideas, concept art and even finished pieces in my work. I am using GPT 3 to write essays, and come up with concepts.

This year is the first time I am using AI as an actual substitute of something that I would have previously ask a human (skilled and creative) coworker to do.

The whole consciousness/sentience issue is silly. We don't know what consciousness is, we don't have any way to measure it, there is no way to prove or disprove it.

The analogy I find is the Sun. Imagine people in the XVI century debating whether they can recreate the energy of the Sun on Earth, without actually understanding of what the Sun is.

"But it is right there, we know what the Sun is". No you don't. Understanding that the Sun is a fusion engine that converts light elements into heavier elements by fusing them with the force of gravity was so many concepts ahead of their understanding, that the debate of what a Sun is or isn't would be completely unproductive.

We have absolutely no idea what consciousness/sentience actually is. We can see its effects, like our ancestors could see the Sun. But we have no actual understanding of the mechanics of it.

As far as an AI that is not narrow, it already exists. Models like Deepmind's GATO, are capable of a myriad of tasks with the same weights. They are the very definition of AGI, but nobody calls them that, because AGI has become this unachievable ideal that changes definition every time there is a new advance.

Like Artificial Intelligence before it, the concept of AGI is an effort to put human intelligence in a category of its own.

A far more interesting question, in my view, is when will algorithms be able to do any productive task that a human can do, at a competent level.

I believe we are now like a third through, and will be at 100% next decade.

The Romance of Reality, I find it better that The Singularity is Near, in explaining why the Singularity is happening.

Ray Kurzweil's explanation is "The Law of Accelerated Returns", which is not an actual law. In the book Romance of Reality the author explains that the Singularity is a side effect of the Second Law of Thermodynamics, which states that Entropy in a closed system always increases.

That is, on average, systems tend to be more disorganized (increased entropy). The side effect of this universal law, is that there are pockets in the Universe where the exact opposite happens. Stars, planets, are places where entropy decreases, as a law of the universe.

The Singularity is the inevitable result of decreased entropy because we are in a pocket of the Universe where we entered a feedback loop of loss of entropy.

Yes, but the reasoning for the fact that new discoveries will happen in an every increasing lower time span, is described by the Countdown to the Singularity. That is how you get the date 2045. It is not a guess. It is a calculation.

It might be a flawed calculation, for sure. But it is not something that was just guessed out of thin air.

That is why current events usually only distract people from the actual prediction. Because focusing on the small current advances make people lose track of the accuracy of the prediction that was made decades ago.

An honest question: if you think this is pseudo-philosophy, what do you think the Singularity is?

Meaning, do you actually believe there will be a Singularity? And why?

You are confusing the very concept of the Singularity. The Singularity is the increased complexity of the Universe, given by a side effect of the Second Law of Thermodynamics, which states that Entropy in a closed system always increases.

That is, on average, systems tend to be more disorganized (increased entropy). The side effect of this universal law, is that there are pockets in the Universe where the exact opposite happens. Stars, planets, are places where entropy decreases, as a law of the universe. You can check the book The Romance of Reality for an in-depth explanation of this phenomenon.

The Singularity is the inevitable result of decreased entropy because we are in a pocket of the Universe where we entered a feedback loop of loss of entropy. Complexity has been increasing on Earth since its inception, and it will continue to do so until complexity cannot get any more complex. Starting from being created with most of the elements in the periodic table, to simple strands of DNA, to cells, multicellular life, human brain, technology and information technology. It is like being at the center of a star to be that is accumulating gas via gravity, and will ignite as a star when the critical mass creates fusion.

Focusing on a particular strand of this entropy loss is losing perspective of the whole phenomenon, and therefore, the ability to make predictions. Like trying to predict the path of a single ball in a Galton Board. It is absolutely impossible.

But predicting the overall distribution is super easy, because it is always the same.

The exact path that digital medicine is going to take is impossible to predict. But the fact that it will be complete by the time the Singularity happens is as sure as any other predictable physical phenomenon in the Universe.

“The majority of R&D today…” keyword: today. The COVID Vaccine from Moderna was ready 2 days after the sequencing of the virus DNA which took like 2 hours. It could have been available to the general public in a week if the simulated biology testing was good enough. Simulated Biology testing is not good enough today.

Deepmind is already working in a virtual cell that will allow for digital testing of all biological processes in the future.

If I had to guess, I would say that digital medicine is now at 0.1% complete. Meaning, we have 99.9% to go. So, we’re almost there! Just 10 doublings, if every doubling takes 2 years, 100% digital medicine will be ready in 20 years. Just in time for the singularity.

This reminds me of a Wired article about the game of Go. It was written in May 2014 and it described perfectly how computers weren't able to play Go, even at amateur level, and how they could probably never do so.
In March 2016, the algorithm Alpha-Go won a tournament against the world champion.

From not being able to play at amateur level, to super human in less than 2 years. That is the power of exponential growth. It is so deceiving that people have a very hard time grasping it.

To calibrate your exponential understanding try to answer this riddle: If a glass is doubling its content every day for a year (365 days) before becoming full, when is it going to be half full?

The answer for most people seems to be the obvious 6 months. Half the glass, half the time.

But this is exponential growth we are talking about, and in this subreddit most people will probably know the right answer: 364 days. If the content doubles every day, it will be half full one day before the end of the time period.

But here is one question that is trickier: When is it going to be at 1% of its capacity. At what time will it still have 99% to go?

The answer is one week before the year is over. Because from 1% to 100% there is 7 doublings: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, >100 (128).

If you understand that medicine is now an information technology, that is doubling its understanding and command of the human body at an exponential rate, and the doubling of its understanding takes 2 years, and that the Singularity is happening in 2045, it reasons to expect major significant advances in the 2040's, and not before.