You’re certainly entitled to that take. I will clarify that they are talking about research, not commercialization. And I’ll grant you that I’m an internet rando who could be making up my so-called “friends”. FWIW, these are people I consider accomplished in the field (AI research positions at big tech, successful AI entrepreneurs, university AI researchers)
I would encourage you to read the research for yourself (perhaps you already have) rather than the marketing output of AI companies. “Attention is all you need” is a good start. And if you’re looking for a strong argument in favor of AI winter, “stochastic parrots” is a good line of inquiry.
I’m not trying to support any particular viewpoint, just adding other perspectives.
I believe that you are looking for the ML community. Though they may not agree with you that programming work will be obsolete in 4 years. If you believe that there are communities (with smart people in them), who aren’t seeing something clearly, perhaps they are, but do not share your opinions. No one can predict the future - I have some very experienced friends in the AI industry who believe we’re in an AI winter, but the hype hasn’t died off yet.
Personally, I like Mastodon. The communities are still a bit smaller so it’s possible to find people with the blend of opinions that you’re talking about.
galactic-arachnid t1_je1fvxc wrote
Reply to comment by AsuhoChinami in Which communities have you found where people are both smart about what AI is and isn't currently capable of, but where everyone in there is convinced we'll have AI soon that's smarter than 95% of humans at all computer based tasks within a few years? by TikkunCreation
You’re certainly entitled to that take. I will clarify that they are talking about research, not commercialization. And I’ll grant you that I’m an internet rando who could be making up my so-called “friends”. FWIW, these are people I consider accomplished in the field (AI research positions at big tech, successful AI entrepreneurs, university AI researchers)
I would encourage you to read the research for yourself (perhaps you already have) rather than the marketing output of AI companies. “Attention is all you need” is a good start. And if you’re looking for a strong argument in favor of AI winter, “stochastic parrots” is a good line of inquiry.
I’m not trying to support any particular viewpoint, just adding other perspectives.