In theory. In the wild, graphing cases, it doesn't matter at all. In the wild all that determines case count, which is why the cases count charts like a stock market traded financial instrument, is the innate points at which humans see risk and actually run from that risk. Having been boosted simply increases the number of boosted entering the contagion pool until the exact same point of risk occurs.
This is why year over year, omicron vs delta was a bug that was roughly 10x as promiscuous with a severity rate 1/10th previous year... overall view of risk is the same.
And so it will continue until you reach near ubiquity of the virus and near harmlessness.
This stuff ain't even a medical problem, it's a human psychology problem, hence the total failure of the medical establishment. Policy did near zero even short term with shut downs and vaccines. Look at the charts and try to guess when policy happened vs simple geometric expansion and contractions at the same points you'd expect if covid was a hot or falling stock in your IRA. I forget the details, having abandoned covid as a pursuit, but the periodicity is between 100 and 120 days, like most things related to people(seasons are innate, not a human invention) and the ball just bounces a certain amplitude based on perceived risk from the reported severity on tv/ observed severity among peers. The rest is not even significant in swaying that progression. Ie, you can determine future covid numbers as a function of hospitalization rates, but NOT vaccine numbers(a fact in the wild and a philosophical challenge as to why that is if you disagree with my premise).
Tricky-Potato-851 t1_j2robbu wrote
Reply to comment by AusCan531 in COVID-19 vaccines, prior infection reduce transmission of Omicron: Vaccination and boosting, especially when recent, helped to limit the spread of COVID-19 in prisons during the first Omicron wave, according to researchers that examined transmission between people living in the same prison cell. by lolfuys
In theory. In the wild, graphing cases, it doesn't matter at all. In the wild all that determines case count, which is why the cases count charts like a stock market traded financial instrument, is the innate points at which humans see risk and actually run from that risk. Having been boosted simply increases the number of boosted entering the contagion pool until the exact same point of risk occurs.
This is why year over year, omicron vs delta was a bug that was roughly 10x as promiscuous with a severity rate 1/10th previous year... overall view of risk is the same.
And so it will continue until you reach near ubiquity of the virus and near harmlessness.
This stuff ain't even a medical problem, it's a human psychology problem, hence the total failure of the medical establishment. Policy did near zero even short term with shut downs and vaccines. Look at the charts and try to guess when policy happened vs simple geometric expansion and contractions at the same points you'd expect if covid was a hot or falling stock in your IRA. I forget the details, having abandoned covid as a pursuit, but the periodicity is between 100 and 120 days, like most things related to people(seasons are innate, not a human invention) and the ball just bounces a certain amplitude based on perceived risk from the reported severity on tv/ observed severity among peers. The rest is not even significant in swaying that progression. Ie, you can determine future covid numbers as a function of hospitalization rates, but NOT vaccine numbers(a fact in the wild and a philosophical challenge as to why that is if you disagree with my premise).