Motion-to-Photons
Motion-to-Photons t1_ja40xlh wrote
Reply to comment by HeinrichTheWolf_17 in AI technology level within 5 years by medicalheads
True, but how long did human intelligence take to mature?
Perhaps it depends on your definition. 2011 to 2028 might have seemed like a soft (and manageable) takeoff in 2011?, but here with are in 2023 and some people seem to suggest that AI isn’t even intelligent yet?!
Motion-to-Photons t1_ja2ool8 wrote
Reply to What do you expect the most out of AGI? by Envoy34
Insights into the nature of reality leading to a general improvement of life for all sentiments beings.
Better understanding is the path to success. The happiest nations on Earth seem to be the ones that have left behind fairy tails that do not represent reality.
Motion-to-Photons t1_ja2a8mq wrote
Reply to AI technology level within 5 years by medicalheads
I reckon Ray has a pretty good handle on this when he predicted that it will occur sometime between 2029 and 2050. But at some point in the next 3 years or so we should at least know if it’s going to be a hard take off or not.
Motion-to-Photons t1_ja29lm6 wrote
Dum question, but let’s say this time next year we are indeed running a 13-billion parameter LLM on our top spec home GPUs, how long would a response take? With images I’m happy to wait 60 seconds for a really good result, but would I wait that long for a reply from an LLM? Perhaps we are running 13-billion parameter models next year, but it might by be another 4 or 5 years until we would actually want to?
Motion-to-Photons t1_ja41xqc wrote
Reply to comment by visarga in Meta unveils a new large language model that can run on a single GPU by AylaDoesntLikeYou
Wow! That pretty much answers my question, then!
Honestly, I’m not happy with this rate of progress. Many people are not smart enough to see through simple Facebook/TikTok/Instagram algorithms. They have no chance when confronted with weaponised AGI.